The San Diego Padres are playing host to the Miami Marlins at PETCO Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will televise this NL matchup.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Miami (+130) is entering this game as the underdog against San Diego (-140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 7 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -125 for the over and +105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Marlins +1.5 runs (-170) and Padres -1.5 runs (+150).
The Marlins are 20-33 SU and are 26-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors and 4.9 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 22-33 SU and 27-27 ATS. They’ve lost 3.3 units for moneyline bettors and 7.7 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Padres games have a 24-28-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Marlins games have gone under 28 times, gone over 24 times and pushed on zero occasions.
Dan Straily is getting the start for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Straily is 2-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 19 strikeouts. This will be his first start against San Diego this year. He did make two starts against the Padres in 2017, putting together a 0-0 record against them with a 2.77 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
The Padres will turn to righty Tyson Ross (4-3, 3.13 ERA) to the mound. Ross has 64 punchouts and 23 walks to his name, as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Ross did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.02 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.23 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The San Diego hitters have produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .221/.257/.380 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by left fielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Pirela is hitting .277/.330/.362 with 59 hits, 17 RBIs and 29 runs scored, and Hosmer is batting .256 with six homers, 20 RBIs and 25 runs.
Hosmer appeared to enjoy facing right-handed pitching at home in 2017. Across 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (a drop from his total season line of .318/.385/.498).
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.27 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.69 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.75, along with a K-per-9 of 8.72.
The Marlins offense has slashed .233/.303/.345 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is hitting .288/.327/.380 with 59 hits, 22 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Anderson (.279/.360/.386) is up to 55 hits, 23 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 1.0 units and are 19-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 3.9 units and are 20-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under.
Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 10 over their last 10.
Miami has recorded 20.2 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
The Padres have lost three of their last four games SU.
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