The Miami Marlins will make a road trip to St. Louis to take on the Cardinals at Busch Stadium. This NL showdown will be nationally broadcasted on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 8:15 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+200) as the underdog to St. Louis (-220). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-110) and Cardinals -1.5 runs (-110).
The Marlins are only 20-39 SU and have gone 28-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.8 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 32-25 SU and 28-29 ATS. The team’s gained 0.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.2 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Cardinals games have had an over/under record of 21-32-4 so far in 2018. Marlins games have gone under 30 times, gone over 29 times and pushed on zero occasions.
Right-hander Jose Urena is the projected starter for Miami. Urena is 0-7 with a 4.41 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.60 ERA and seven strikeouts across five innings).
The Cardinals will turn to righty Carlos Martinez (3-2, 1.62 ERA), who has 47 punchouts and 22 walks as well as a 1.08 WHIP. Martinez only made one start against the Marlins in 2017 (1-0, 4.50 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.51 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.77 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.79, along with a K/9 of 8.60.
The Marlins offense has slashed .233/.300/.347 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game this year, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .288/.327/.394 with three home runs, 24 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Anderson has a .291 average with two homers, 25 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff has yielded 3.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 2.94, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.
The St. Louis offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .228/.294/.352 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Cardinals’ batters have been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and outfielder Marcell Ozuna. Martinez is slashing .292/.362/.441 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 23 runs scored, and Ozuna’s line is .272/.323/.374 with five homers, 28 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 6.0 units and are 19-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 1.9 units and are 20-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 25 that went under.
Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 games SU.
St. Louis has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 12 over their last 10.
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