The Tampa Bay Rays will try to avoid dropping their fourth in a row as they play host to the Miami Marlins at Tropicana Field. Fox Sports Sun will be televising this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Miami (+165) is the underdog to Tampa Bay (-175) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -135 for betting the Marlins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Rays -1.5.
The Marlins are 43-57 SU and have gone 54-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.2 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 1.1 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, are 49-49 SU and 55-42 ATS. They’ve gained 6.5 units for moneyline bettors and 13.3 units ATS.
Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 41-53-3 thus far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 51-46-2.
Trevor Richards is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 3-5 with a 4.74 ERA and 57 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.
The Rays will be sending righty Chris Archer (3-4, 4.29 ERA) to the mound. Archer has 86 strikeouts and 29 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.38. Archer hasn’t faced the Marlins yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.
The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 7.0 per game over its last 10 games and 8.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .318/.385/.521 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Matt Duffy has helped lead the Rays’ offense this year with four home runs, 27 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.59 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.69 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.85, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K-per-9 of 8.44.
The Marlins offense has slashed .245/.314/.368 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Starlin Castro has provided a spark to the Miami offense. Castro is slashing .293/.338/.407 with seven home runs, 37 RBIs and 59 runs scored.
The Marlins are coming off a 3-2 win in the prior game of the series.
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Miami’s last seven outings.
The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 14 over their last 10.
The Miami defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Tampa Bay over its last 10.
The Rays have lost five of their last six games SU.
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