The Washington Nationals are playing host to their division rival Miami Marlins at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action and the game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Miami (+200) is coming into this one as the underdog against Washington (-220) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -110 for betting the Marlins +1.5 runs and -110 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.
The Nationals are 62-62 straight up (SU) and 60-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 21.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units (ATS). Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 49-76 SU this year and are 62-62 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 6.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.5 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 52-68-3 in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 62-58-4.
Right-hander Jose Urena will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. Urena is 3-12 with a 4.74 ERA and 104 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).
The Nationals will send lefty Gio Gonzalez (7-9, 4.12 ERA) to the mound. Gonzalez has 113 strikeouts and 63 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.50 WHIP. Gonzalez is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA over two starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.86, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 51 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.26.
Washington’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .273/.321/.437 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .268/.336/.413 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 75 runs and 32 stolen bases, while Rendon is hitting .294 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 57 runs.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.64 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.20, along with a WHIP of 1.33.
The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.307/.359 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is hitting .280/.330/.397 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Anderson (.277/.354/.400) has produced nine homers, 54 RBIs and 65 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 2.2 units and are 18-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 4.7 units and are 47-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 37 of those games, as opposed to 50 which went under the total.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
Miami has averaged 17.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 19.6 over its last five.
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