The Miami Marlins will face their divisional nemesis Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The matchup will be televised nationally on Fox and the game gets underway 7:15 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Washington (-335) as the favorite over Miami (+270). The total sits at 7 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. Runline odds stand at +135 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and -155 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Marlins have gone only 36-54 SU this year and are 47-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.6 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 4.5 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 44-43 SU and 41-45 ATS. They’ve lost 16.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.0 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 34-50-2 so far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 45-42-2.
Left-hander Wei-Yin Chen is projected to start for Miami. Chen is 2-5 with a 5.55 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.23 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are putting the ball in the right hand of Max Scherzer (10-5, 2.16 ERA, 0.87 WHIP), who’s got 174 strikeouts and 30 walks. Scherzer is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.65 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.82, along with a K-per-9 of 8.26.
The Marlins offense has slashed .242/.310/.364 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .297/.345/.406 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 54 runs scored. Anderson has a .284 average with six homers, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
For the home team, Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.83, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 3.74 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 31 games against NL East foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.46 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.42.
The Washington offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .276/.356/.435 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ offense this year. Turner is slashing .282/.359/.427 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 51 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line is .281/.348/.512 with 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.3 units and are 31-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 16.9 units and are 9-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in three of Miami’s last seven outings.
The Marlins have lost three of their last four games SU.
Miami has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 27.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 16 over their last 10.
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