The Miami Marlins will be taking on their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Miami (+170) is coming into this one as the underdog to Washington (-180) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-130) and Nationals -1.5 runs (+110).
The Marlins are just 36-55 SU and have gone 48-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.5 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 45-43 SU and 41-46 ATS. The team has lost 15.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.1 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Washington games have a 34-51-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 45-43-2.
Trevor Richards is projected to start for Miami. Richards (2-5, 5.26 ERA) has recorded 48 punchouts in 53 innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Nationals will put the ball in the right hand of Tanner Roark (3-10, 4.60 ERA), who has 88 punchouts and 38 walks this season as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Roark is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.85 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 32 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.34.
The Washington hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .314/.385/.486 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Turner is slashing .282/.359/.425 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 54 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line sits at .280/.347/.511 with 12 homers, 39 RBIs and 37 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.74 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.04, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 8.18.
Marlins hitters have slashed .241/.309/.366 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have paced Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .297/.346/.414 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 55 runs scored. Anderson (.284/.362/.412) is up to six homers, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.3 units and are 31-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 32 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
The Marlins have dropped four of their last five games SU.
Washington has posted 27.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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