The Washington Nationals are playing host to the Miami Marlins at Nationals Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the matchup.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Washington (-190) as the favorite over Miami (+180). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over nine runs and -120 for under nine. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -125 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +105 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.
The Marlins are 36-53 SU and have gone 47-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 3.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 43-43 SU and 40-45 ATS. They’ve lost 17.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Nationals games have an over/under record of 33-50-2 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 44-42-2.
The right-handed Dan Straily will get the start for Miami. Straily is 3-4 with a 4.70 ERA and 52 strikeouts. He has yet to face Washington this year, but he did make three starts against the Nationals in 2017, posting a 0-1 record against them with a 4.80 ERA and eight strikeouts.
The Nationals are sending lefty Gio Gonzalez (6-5, 3.77 ERA) to the mound. Gonzalez has 86 punchouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Gonzalez made five starts against the team in 2017, posting a spotless 4-0 record in 2017, posting a spotless 4-0 record with a 1.09 ERA and 30 strikeouts.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.83 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 30 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.58.
The Washington offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .260/.346/.398 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Turner is hitting .280/.357/.427 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 51 runs and 22 stolen bases, and Rendon is batting .283 with 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 35 runs.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.67 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.70 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.82, along with a WHIP of 1.33.
The Marlins offense has slashed .241/.309/.364 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .296/.344/.403 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Anderson is slashing .284/.361/.412 with six homers, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.3 units and are 16-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 0.6 units and are 31-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 23 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve gone under.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in just two of Miami’s last seven contests.
The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
Miami has recorded 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.6 over its last five.
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