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Miami RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes NCAAF Pick

The Miami RedHawks (1-3) take on the Kent State Golden Flashes (1-3) seeking to break a three-game losing streak. The game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct 3 and will be available on ESP3.

In last week’s matchup, Kent State lost to Marshall 36-29. Antwan Dixon had a quality performance, putting up 83 total yards and a score. He did the most damage on the ground, putting up 47 yards and a score. Colin Reardon had 189 yards and two TDs through the air. Miami (OH) had an ugly loss against Western Kentucky 56-14 in its matchup. Chris Hudson had a solid performance for the RedHawks, grabbing four receptions for 64 yards and one TD.

The odds between the Golden Flashes and the RedHawks are even this week, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available.

Sitting at 1-3 Straight Up (SU) and 2-2 Against The Spread (ATS), the Golden Flashes will look to improve heading into Week 5. The Golden Flashes run the ball often. Their 47.5 rushing attempts per game are the 22nd-highest in the country. As for the Kent State defense, a few key matchups could decide this game. Miami (OH)’s offense will need to use all of its options against the ninth-ranked Golden Flashes run defense, which gives up 81.5 rushing yards per game. An important aspect of the game will be if the RedHawks can fend off Kent State’s ability to take the ball away. The Golden Flashes currently rank 12th in the nation with 2.5 turnovers per game. With the 15th-highest time of possession per game at 33:51, expect Kent State to control the clock this week.

Over on the other sideline, the RedHawks head into Week 5 with records of 2-2 ATS and 1-3 SU. The RedHawks should look out for bad ball security against the Golden Flashes, who rank near the bottom in the country in fumbles lost with 1.2 per game.

Predictions: SU Winner – Kent State, ATS Winner – Kent State

Notes

Kent State is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State’s last 5 games.

Kent State is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games at home.

Kent State is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kent State’s last 6 games at home.

Kent State is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Miami (Ohio).

Kent State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami (Ohio).

Kent State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami (Ohio).

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State’s last 5 games when playing at home against Miami (Ohio).

Miami (OH) is 1-0 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Kent State is 1-1 SU when leading at the end of the third quarter.

Since the start of last year, Kent State is only 1-5 SU against MAC opponents, while Miami (OH) is just 1-6 SU against in-conference foes.

When comparing just conference ratings, Miami (OH) seems to have an advantage in the passing game. Its offensive passing game (ranked seventh in the MAC) will face the 11th-ranked pass defense of Kent State, while its seventh-ranked pass defense will look to control the 11th-ranked aerial attack of the Golden Flashes.

Kent State also has an advantage in the run game when comparing just in-conference stats. Its second-ranked rushing attack will face the eighth-ranked run defense of Miami (OH), while its second-ranked rush defense will look to contain the eighth-ranked ground game of the RedHawks.

Written by GMS Previews

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