The Milwaukee Brewers are paying a visit to Phoenix to take on the Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing this NL showdown and the first pitch will be at 9:40 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Vegas has listed Arizona (-145) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+135). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Brewers +1.5 runs (-160) and Diamondbacks +-1.5 runs (+140).
The Diamondbacks are 24-16 SU and 21-18 ATS. The team has gained 11.4 units for moneyline bettors and 3.4 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers have gone 24-17 SU this year and are 22-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 7.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 2.3 units ATS. Milwaukeehas covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 16-21-2 so far in 2018. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 14-24-2.
Junior Guerra is getting the nod for Milwaukee. The right-handed Guerra is 2-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face Arizona this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 3.09 ERA and eight strikeouts.
The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Patrick Corbin (4-0, 2.12 ERA), who’s got 67 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a 0.82 WHIP. Corbin only made one start against the Brewers in 2017 (0-1, 15.75 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).
As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.41, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 8.1.
The Arizona hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 2.7 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .202/.254/.289 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta have led the Diamondbacks’ batters this year. Pollock is hitting .301/.358/.637 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases, while Peralta’s line is .296/.381/.519 with seven homers, 21 RBIs and 19 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.24 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 6.97 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 2.67, along with a K-per-9 of 10.17.
The Brewers offense has slashed .242/.313/.390 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Lorenzo Cain and Jesus Aguilar have led Milwaukee’s hitters. Cain is hitting .292/.395/.467 with five home runs, 13 RBIs, 24 runs and eight stolen bases, while Aguilar is slashing .333/.409/.526 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .300/.363/.440, Cain enjoyed hitting against left-handed pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .318/.400/.621 across 75 such plate appearances.
The Brewers have gained 0.0 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 2.9 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to 13 that went under.
Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Trends
The Brewers have won three of their last four games SU.
Arizona has recorded 15.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.0 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit seven over their last 10.
xxxxx
