The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on their divisional rival Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET and WGN will be televising the matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Brewers are 83-62 SU and are 74-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.6 units for moneyline bettors and 0.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 83-60 SU and 72-70 ATS. They’ve gained 2.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.4 units ATS. Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Cubs games have a 65-74-3 over/under record in 2018. Brewers games have gone over 70 times, gone under 70 times and pushed on four occasions.
The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. Chacin (14-6, 3.59 ERA) has racked up 140 strikeouts in 167 innings so far. He’s 2-1 with 22 strikeouts and a 1.53 ERA against Chicago this year (three starts).
The Cubs are planning to start lefty Jose Quintana (12-9, 4.14 ERA), who has 128 strikeouts and 63 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Quintana is 3-1 with 26 strikeouts and a 2.64 ERA over five starts against Milwaukee this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.96 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.74, along with a K-per-9 of 10.18.
Brewers hitters have slashed .251/.323/.419 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is slashing .315/.381/.554 with 28 home runs, 86 RBIs, 98 runs and 17 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .311 with 10 homers, 35 RBIs, 80 runs and 26 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.96, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.36 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 64 games against divisional opponents, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.85.
The Chicago offense has put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .259/.330/.365 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have led the Cubs’ offense this year. Baez is hitting .293/.324/.563 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs, 89 runs and 21 steals, while Rizzo’s line is .282/.379/.481 with 24 homers, 92 RBIs and 66 runs.
The Brewers have lost 0.6 units and are 18-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 0.3 units and are 56-56 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 50 of those games, compared to 59 that went under.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games SU.
Chicago has recorded 21 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit nine over their last 10.
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