Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets Free Pick 04/14/18

The streaking New York Mets are gunning for their 10th consecutive win as they play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Citi Field. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets Odds

Milwaukee (+115) is hosting this one as the underdog against New York (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Runline odds sit at -180 for taking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +160 for the Mets -1.5.

The Mets are 11-1 SU and 10-1 ATS. The team’s gained 10.5 units for moneyline bettors and 11.1 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers are 7-7 SU and have gone 5-8 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 1.8 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going, but have lost 4.9 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Mets games have an over/under record of 5-6 thus far in 2018. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 6-7.

The Brewers have gained 1.8 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 7.0 units and are 7-1 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, as opposed to four which went under the total.

Right-hander Chase Anderson (0-1, 3.38 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Brewers. Anderson struck out 133 hitters over 141 innings last year with only 41 walks and finished the season 12-4 overall with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP.

The Mets are going with righty Matt Harvey (0-0, 3.60 ERA) as their starter. Harvey started 18 games last year and finished the season 5-7 overall with a 6.70 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 3.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.32, a WHIP of 1.09 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 1.57, a WHIP of 1.15 and a K/9 of 10.2.

The New York hitters have produced 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .224/.309/.424 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Mets’ batters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier. Cabrera is hitting .347/.396/.612 with 17 hits, five RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Frazier is batting .282 with 11 hits, eight RBIs and eight runs.

Cabrera seemed to take a step back when hitting at home last season. In 241 plate appearances, he slashed .245/.315/.366 (compared to his total season line of .280/.351/.434).

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.01 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.20 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.70, along with a WHIP of 1.46 and a K-per-9 of 10.35.

Brewers hitters have slashed .243/.304/.386 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Milwaukee’s offensive production been led by Eric Thames and Jesus Aguilar. Thames is slashing .256/.356/.692 with 10 hits, five homers, seven RBIs and eight runs scored, while Aguilar (.438/.550/.563) is up to seven hits, zero RBIs and three runs scored.

Aguilar enjoyed hitting against righties on the road last season. Over 106 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .309/.368/.606 (compared to his overall season line of .265/.331/.505).

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER