The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (+100) is coming into this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +135 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -155 for the Pirates +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 88-66 SU and are 79-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 15.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 77-75 SU and 73-78 ATS. The team’s gained 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 13.1 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have had an over/under record of 66-75-10 in 2018. Milwaukee has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 71-78-4.
The right-handed Zach Davies is the projected starter for the visiting Brewers. Davies is 2-6 with a 4.66 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Trevor Williams (13-9, 3.16 ERA), who has 115 strikeouts and 51 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Williams is 2-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA over two starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 67 divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.85.
The Pittsburgh offense has put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .272/.324/.414 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson. Marte is hitting .276/.319/.450 with 19 home runs, 67 RBIs, 76 runs and 33 steals, and Dickerson’s line is .296/.325/.469 with 12 homers, 53 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.91 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.77 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.56, along with a K/9 of 10.20.
The Brewers offense has slashed .250/.322/.421 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who have combined to drive in 130 runs. Yelich is slashing .320/.387/.570 with 31 home runs, 93 RBIs, 106 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .308/.398/.423 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 82 runs and 28 steals.
The Brewers have gained 15.5 units and are 60-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 48 of those games, as opposed to 61 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 9.8 units and are 54-54 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 58 that went under.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in just one of Milwaukee’s last seven contests.
Pittsburgh has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.8 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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