In the first of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (16-14) and the Milwaukee Brewers (13-18) at Marlins Park, Jose Fernandez (3-2, 4.28 ERA) and Wily Peralta (2-3, 7.50 ERA) take the mound. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 9 and will air on FSWI and FSFL.
In his most recent outing, Fernandez pitched 5.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 4-3 victory over the Diamondbacks. Christian Yelich (.340, 20 Rs, 4 HRs, 16 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. The Brewers were victorious over the Marlins 14-5 the last time Peralta pitched. He went 5.2 innings, giving up five runs and walking one. Ryan Braun (.367, 19 Rs, 7 HRs, 24 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. Miami has averaged 0.0 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 0.0. The Marlins are an exceptional hitting team with a .277 team batting average, one of the highest marks in the MLB. The most recent 10 game stretch for Miami’s pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Miami’s opponents are averaging 0.0 runs per game, below their season average of 0.0.
Milwaukee has been playing better lately, averaging 0.0 runs per game, more than their season average of 0.0. The Brewers average 3.8 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed an average of 0.0 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 0.0. The Milwaukee pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 6.8 strikeouts per game.
In their previous three games this season, the Marlins have a 2-1 record.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL
Notes
Miami has won 36% (4-7) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Milwaukee has won 50% (5-5) of its games when taking a late lead.
After a weak showing last week where they got in seven hits, the Brewers need to step it up. The Marlins have a record of 11-4 when opponents get seven hits or less.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 2-16. The Marlins have a 3-9 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks in the bottom half of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 31 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 39.
Ranking 21st, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in hits, notching 8.06 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.60.
Ranking 12th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.751). Miami ranks in the top 10 with an OPS of .768.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 11-16. When the Marlins allow one or more homers, they have an 8-5 record.
