In the second of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (17-14) and the Milwaukee Brewers (13-19) at Marlins Park, Adam Conley (2-1, 3.06 ERA) and Zach Davies (0-3, 6.98 ERA) get the ball. The Marlins won the last game 4-1, and Miami leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 10 and will air on FSWI and FSFL.
In his last start, Conley pitched 5.1 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking one in a 4-0 victory over the Diamondbacks. Derek Dietrich (.333, 6 Rs, 2 HRs, 13 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run and one RBI. The Brewers were unsuccessful against the Angels 7-3 the last time Davies pitched. He went 6.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out three and walking three. Ryan Braun (.363, 19 Rs, 7 HRs, 24 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Marlins has gone great. Over that span, Miami is averaging 0.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 0.0. The Marlins are a superb hitting team with a .280 team batting average, one of the highest marks in the MLB. Miami’s pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 0.0 during that span, compared to its 0.0 season average.
During the last 10 games, they averaged 0.0 runs per game, above their 0.0 season average. The Brewers average 3.9 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Milwaukee pitchers. They’ve allowed 0.0 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 0.0. The Milwaukee pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 6.8 strikeouts per game.
In their previous four games this season, the Marlins have a 3-1 record.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL
Notes
Miami has won 42% (5-7) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Milwaukee has won 45% (5-6) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 11-2. The Marlins have a 14-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 130 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 144.
Ranking 19th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 93 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five with 126.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 13-7. When the Brewers hit at least one homer, they have a 10-8 record.
