Jeremy Hellickson (4-3, 3.68 ERA) and Junior Guerra (3-1, 3.47 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (27-28) and the Milwaukee Brewers (25-30) at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 6-3, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 3:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 4 and can be seen on CSPh and FSWI.
Hellickson pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run and striking out eight in a 4-3 defeat to the Nationals. Maikel Franco (.253, 16 Rs, 9 HRs, 30 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI. Guerra went 6.1 innings, surrendering four runs (one unearned) and striking out six in a 6-0 defeat to the Cardinals in his last outing. Chris Carter (.226, 27 Rs, 14 HRs, 33 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
The odds for Philadelphia and Milwaukee are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 0.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 0.0 runs per game. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 0.0 runs per game, well under their season average of 0.0.
Offensively, the Brewers have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 0.0 runs per game by averaging 0.0 during that stretch. The Brewers are an excellent base stealing team with 45 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB. The Brewers allow 0.0 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 0.0 runs per game during that span.
The Phillies lead the season series, 3-2.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL
Notes
The Phillies managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are coming in with an 11-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 4-25. The Phillies have a 6-21 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 43 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half with 59.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league in hits, notching 7.50 per game. Milwaukee ranks near the bottom at 24th with 8.00.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.648). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .724.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 20-26. When the Phillies allow one or more homers, they have a 10-23 record.
