In the last of a three-game series between the Seattle Mariners (66-56) and the Milwaukee Brewers (52-70) at Safeco Field, Ariel Miranda (1-0, 5.79 ERA) and Matt Garza (4-5, 4.87 ERA) get the ball. The Brewers lost the last game 8-2, extending a six-game losing streak. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 21 and will air on FSWI and RTNW.
In his last start, Miranda pitched 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out two and walking four in a 7-6 loss to the Angels. Nelson Cruz (.285, 72 Rs, 31 HRs, 76 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. The Brewers were unsuccessful against the Cubs 4-0 the last time Garza pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out two and walking three. Ryan Braun (.319, 62 Rs, 22 HRs, 68 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Seattle is a -168 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Mariners have a 37-29 record and overall money line at +360. They have SU record of 7-3 and are unbeaten as the favorite (5-0) over their last 10 games. The Mariners seem to play better on offense against opponents from the NL, putting up an average of 6.2 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.7. They have been very patient at the plate during home games, ranking fifth in the AL with an average of 3.4 walks per game. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, the Seattle pitching staff and defense has been very good, only giving up 4.3 runs per game. The Mariners are third in the AL in hits allowed at home with just 8.5 per game. An area where the Mariners are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.3 K’s per game.
Switching gears, the Brewers come into this game with a weak win percentage of .388 when playing as the underdog (33-52) and an overall money line of -1,066. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 3-7 SU and has a poor 0-5 record when it was an underdog to win. Milwaukee has stepped up their play against AL opponents, averaging an impressive 4.8 runs per game compared to their 4.1 runs per game season average. The Brewers have racked up 137 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league.
So far this season, the Mariners are 2-0 against the Brewers. The Mariners will take on a right-hander (Garza) in this game and have a 47-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the left-hander Miranda. They sport a 22-16 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner – SEA, O/U – Over
Notes
The Mariners are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Brewers have a 6-15 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
The Mariners are coming into the game with two consecutive wins, while the Brewers currently have a losing streak of six.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 43-9. The Mariners have a 48-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th in runs, Milwaukee has earned 497 this season. Seattle ranks 10th with 573 runs.
Ranking 13th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 382 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at second with 467.
The Mariners are 54-37 when they hit at least one home run. The Brewers perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 41-34 record.
