Kyle Lohse (5-9, 6.24 ERA) and Matt Wisler (2-1, 2.60 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (36-48) and the Atlanta Braves (40-42) at Miller Park. The Brewers come into this series hoping to extend an eight-game winning streak. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jul. 6 and can be seen on SPSO and FSN-WI.
Lohse is 5-2 with a 3.91 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 54 strikeouts against the Braves. Adam Lind (.298, 35 Rs, 14 HRs, 51 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. Wisler went 5.1 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out six and walking five in a 4-1 win over the Nationals in his most recent start. Cameron Maybin (.294, 34 Rs, 7 HRs, 39 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Milwaukee is a -138 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,174 and a record as the favorite of 14-17. Milwaukee is an impressive 6-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 28-35 record and an overall money line of +658. Offensively, the Braves have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.0 runs per game by averaging 2.7 during that stretch. The Braves are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.9 hits per road game. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.8 per game.
The Braves lead the season series, 3-1. The Brewers have a 25-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Wisler takes the mound. Lohse (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 34-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Brewers play into extra innings, they have a 3-2 record. The Braves are 2-6 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 28-12. The Brewers have a 27-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Atlanta sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 322 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half at 15th with 336.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 199 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with 234.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 28-16, well-matched with the Braves who are 23-14 when hitting one or more homers.
