Jimmy Nelson (1-3, 4.00 ERA) and Jose Quintana (1-3, 5.03 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (12-22) and the Chicago White Sox (13-17) at Miller Park. The White Sox won the last game 4-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 13 and can be seen on CSN-CHI and FSN-WI.
Nelson pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out 11 and walking one in a 7-6 defeat to the Cubs. Against the Brewers, Quintana is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and four strikeouts. Avisail Garcia (.316, 17 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday.
Milwaukee is a -116 favorite against Chicago and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -834 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 4-9. Against the AL, they are unbeaten both as the favorite (1-0) and SU (1-0)The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. Milwaukee’s pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 7.0 against AL teams, compared to its 5.2 season average.
Over in the other dugout, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of -641 and a disappointing record of 4-11 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-3 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the White Sox have really picked up the pace in interleague games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 5.8 in those contests. The White Sox average 5.0 runs allowed per game, but does worse whenever an NL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 6.2 against teams from the NL.
The Brewers have a 2-4 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Quintana takes the mound. Nelson (RHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have a 10-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Chicago is 4-4, while Milwaukee is 5-7.
After a weak showing last week where they got in three hits, the Brewers need to step it up. The White Sox have a record of 2-0 when opponents get three hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the White Sox are 2-15. The Brewers have a 4-17 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 27th in home runs, Chicago has hit 20 this season. Milwaukee ranks 10th with 32 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.67 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.55.
Milwaukee and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Milwaukee sits at 26th with an OPS of .663 and Chicago ranks 25th with an OPS of .674.
When the White Sox allow at least one home run, they are 6-13, well-matched with the Brewers who are 9-17 when allowing at least one homer.
