Wily Peralta (1-4, 3.92 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (11-21) meet Jeff Samardzija (2-2, 4.38 ERA) and the Chicago White Sox (12-16) in the first of a three-game interleague series at Miller Park. The game gets underway at 7:20 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 11 and will air on WPWR and FSN-WI.
In his last start, Peralta pitched 8.0 innings, allowing two runs (one unearned) and striking out six in a 6-3 victory over the Dodgers. Ryan Braun (.255, 20 Rs, 6 HRs, 16 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and one stolen base. In his pitching opportunities against the Brewers, Samardzija is 2-6 with a 4.55 ERA. He meets a struggling Milwaukee offense that’s batting just .229. Avisail Garcia (.327, 17 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the White Sox, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Milwaukee is favored by a slight -106 margin in its matchup against Chicago. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Brewers have a losing record of 3-9 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of -1,034. They have not performed well against the AL, earning an SU record of 10-21 and a 3-9 record when they were the favorite. Over their past 10 games, Milwaukee’s offense has been playing lights out, averaging 5.3 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.7.
On the other side, the White Sox have a subpar record of 4-11 when they are the underdog and are -607 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have a poor 0-4 record when they were an underdog to win. When it comes to scoring runs, the White Sox have performed much better than normal against teams from the NL. During those games, they averaged six runs per game, above their 3.5 season average. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Chicago pitchers. They allowed 6.3 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.9.
This game will feature Samardzija (RHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have a 4-12 home and 8-17 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the White Sox will be the right-hander Peralta. They sport a 9-12 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
Milwaukee has won 36% (4-7) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 57% (4-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Milwaukee batters brought in a solid nine hits last game. Chicago has a record of 2-11 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they are outhit, the White Sox are 2-15. The Brewers have a 3-16 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 28th in home runs, Chicago has hit 19 this season. Milwaukee ranks 14th with 28 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.55 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.26.
Milwaukee and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Milwaukee sits at 26th with an OPS of .658 and Chicago ranks 24th with an OPS of .669.
The White Sox are 5-12 when they allow at least one home run. The Brewers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 8-17 record.
