The Milwaukee Brewers will be facing off against their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be showing the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (+135) is the home-team underdog against Milwaukee (-145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Brewers -1.5 runs (+100) and Reds +1.5 runs (-120).
The Reds are 73-58 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 57-75 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.9 units (ATS). Cincinnati has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers are 73-60 SU and have gone 67-65 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 9.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 2.7 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Reds games have an over/under record of 67-60-4 in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 63-65-4.
Freddy Peralta is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. Peralta (6-4, 4.02 ERA) has racked up 86 punchouts in 69.1 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).
The Reds will put the ball in the right hand of Matt Harvey (6-7, 4.77 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), who’s got 95 strikeouts and 31 walks this season. Harvey is 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA across two starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.20, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 59 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.53 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.15.
Cincinnati’s offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .255/.320/.382 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ batters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .313/.362/.495 with 19 home runs, 77 RBIs and 76 runs scored, and Peraza’s line is .293/.334/.412 with nine homers, 44 RBIs, 71 runs and 20 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.80, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
The Brewers offense has slashed .251/.320/.418 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is hitting .310/.373/.545 with 25 home runs, 72 RBIs, 91 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain (.306/.398/.429) is up to nine homers, 32 RBIs, 68 runs and 24 steals.
The Brewers have gained 14.3 units and are 53-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Milwaukee has logged 20 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cincinnati has 12 XBH over its last five.
Milwaukee has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.0 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
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