The Milwaukee Brewers will head east to play their divisional foe Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the game.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (+110) is the home-team underdog against Milwaukee (-120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +125 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -145 for the Reds +1.5.
The Brewers are 73-59 SU and are 67-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 9.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 2.7 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 56-75 SU and 73-58 ATS. The team has lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.9 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Reds games have an over/under record of 67-60-4 in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 63-65-4.
The right-handed Junior Guerra will get the start for Milwaukee. Guerra is 6-8 with a 3.72 ERA and 122 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 19 strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA against Cincinnati this year (three starts).
The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Anthony DeSclafani (6-4, 4.26 ERA, 1.21 WHIP), who has 69 strikeouts and 20 walks. DeSclafani is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 5.68 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.20, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 58 games against divisional opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.07.
The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .201/.253/.289 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .308/.356/.484 with 19 home runs, 75 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Peraza’s line is .288/.330/.402 with eight homers, 42 RBIs, 67 runs and 20 steals.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.95 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.79, along with a K/9 of 10.06.
Brewers hitters have slashed .251/.320/.417 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s offensive production has been fueled by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who collectively have swatted 32 home runs. Yelich is hitting .309/.372/.533 with 23 home runs, 67 RBIs, 89 runs and 14 steals, while Cain is slashing .307/.398/.428 with nine homers, 32 RBIs, 67 runs and 24 steals.
The Brewers have gained 14.3 units and are 53-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, as opposed to 53 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 13.3 units and are 51-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 47 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve cashed the under.
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
The Brewers have won three of their last four games SU while the Reds have lost six of their last seven.
Milwaukee has recorded 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.8 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
*****
