The Kansas City Royals are set to host the Milwaukee Brewers at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals Odds
Kansas City (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog against Milwaukee (-125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +120 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -140 for the Royals +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 14-9 SU and are 13-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 2.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Royals, on the other hand, are 5-15 SU and 9-11 ATS. They’ve lost 8.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units ATS. Kansas City has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Kansas City games have had an over/under record of 8-11-1 so far in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 10-13.
Zach Davies is getting the nod for Milwaukee. The right-handed Davies is 1-2 with a 4.84 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Royals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Royals are putting the ball in the right hand of Ian Kennedy (1-2, 2.35 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), who has 22 punchouts and seven walks. Kennedy did not record a start against the Brewers in 2017.
Kansas City’s pitchers have given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.90, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 7.84 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and 7.1 K/9.
The Kansas City hitters have put up 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .243/.318/.387 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Mike Moustakas and right fielder Jorge Soler have led the Royals’ batters so far. Moustakas is hitting .318/.341/.612 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 12 runs scored, and Soler is hitting .288 with 15 hits, two RBIs and five runs scored.
Soler performed well at home last year. Across 53 plate appearances, he slashed .213/.302/.404 (his total season line was .144/.245/.258).
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.94 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.13 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.64, along with a K/9 of 10.76.
Brewers hitters have slashed .245/.318/.403 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by Travis Shaw and Eric Thames, who collectively have blasted 11 home runs. Shaw is slashing .289/.392/.518 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Thames is hitting .250/.357/.650 with seven homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 4.5 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 8.2 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to six which went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Brewers have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
Milwaukee has recorded 21.2 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.6 over its last five.
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