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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals Matchup 04/25/18

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals are playing host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City will showcase this interleague matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals Odds

Kansas City (+120) is the underdog against Milwaukee (-130) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Brewers -1.5 runs (+115) and Royals 1.5 runs (-135).

The Brewers have gone 15-9 SU this year and are 13-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early part of the season and 2.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Royals, on the other hand, are 5-16 SU and 9-11 ATS. The team’s lost 8.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units ATS. Kansas City has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Kansas City games have an over/under record of 8-11-1 so far in 2018. Brewers games have gone under 13 times, gone over 10 times and pushed on zero instances.

The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin is projected to start for Milwaukee. Chacin is 1-1 with a 4.18 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Royals this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and six strikeouts over seven innings).

The Royals will turn to righty Jason Hammel (0-1, 3.20 ERA) to the mound. Hammel has 16 punchouts and seven walks to his name, as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Hammel did not record a start against the Brewers in 2017.

Kansas City’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 7.26 ERA, 1.71 WHIP and 6.9 K/9.

The Kansas City hitters have put up 3.3 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .240/.318/.371 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Third baseman Mike Moustakas and right fielder Jorge Soler have led the way for the Royals’ batters so far. Moustakas is hitting .307/.337/.591 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Soler is hitting .273 with 15 hits, two RBIs and five runs.

Soler performed well at home last year. Across 53 plate appearances, he slashed .213/.302/.404 (a drop from his total season line of .144/.245/.258).

For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.90 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 6.93 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.56, along with a K/9 of 10.61.

Brewers hitters have slashed .248/.322/.405 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).

Milwaukee’s offensive production been led by right fielder Lorenzo Cain and third baseman Travis Shaw. Cain is slashing .316/.421/.506 with 25 hits, eight RBIs, 16 runs and five steals, while Shaw (.291/.390/.547) is up to 25 hits, five homers, 13 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Brewers have gained 4.5 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 8.2 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to six that went under.

Milwaukee Brewers at Kansas City Royals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.

Kansas City has averaged 21.4 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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