In the third of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (8-19) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (8-19) at Miller Park, Wily Peralta (0-4, 4.35 ERA) and Carlos Frias (2-0, 0.00 ERA) get the ball. The Dodgers won the last game 8-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 6 and will air on SportsNet LA and FSN-WI.
Peralta is 2-1 with a 4.61 ERA against the Dodgers in his career, and is up against a strong Los Angeles offense that’s hitting .259 on the year. In his career against the Brewers, Frias is 0-0 with a 7.50 ERA. He gets a less-than-stellar Milwaukee offense that’s batting just .223. Adrian Gonzalez (.361, 23 Rs, 9 HRs, 22 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Milwaukee, a +107 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Los Angeles. The matchup currently has an eight-run Over/Under (O/U). The Brewers have a losing record of 6-11 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -925. Over their past 10 games, Milwaukee’s pitchers have been playing lights out, only allowing 3.5 runs per game, below their season average of 4.8.
On the other side, the Dodgers have a nice record of 15-8 when they are favored and are +318 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 7-2 record. They sport the second-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.7 runs per game. The Dodgers are known for their bats, hitting a league-leading 102 extra base hits. The Dodgers average 3.7 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the NL. Switching gears to Los Angeles’s pitching staff, they have the fourth-lowest ERA in the NL at 3.10. They have a WHIP of 1.10, third best in the MLB. The Los Angeles pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging an NL-best 9.3 strikeouts per game.
The Brewers will take on a right-hander (Frias) in this game. They have done very poorly against right-handed starting pitchers this season (7-14), especially at home where they have a 3-9 record. Taking the hill against the Dodgers will be the right-hander Peralta. Right-handed starters haven’t been any trouble for them (15-7), but it’s a different story when they play on the road (3-6).
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Dodgers play into extra innings, they have a 2-2 record. The Brewers are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Los Angeles batters brought in a solid nine hits last game. Milwaukee has a record of 3-14 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 5-2. The Dodgers have a 15-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 88 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 126.
Ranking 29th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 52 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with 99.
The Brewers are 7-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Dodgers are 15-6 when they hit at least one homer.
