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Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Free Pick

Tyler Cravy (0-4, 5.92 ERA) and Adam Conley (1-0, 5.00 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (51-69) and the Miami Marlins (48-70) at Miller Park. The Marlins won the last game 6-2 and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 18 and can be seen on FSFL and FSWI.

Cravy pitched 4.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking four in a 9-2 defeat to the Cubs. Ryan Braun (.275, 69 Rs, 21 HRs, 71 RBIs, 18 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one RBI. Conley went 4.2 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking one in a 14-6 defeat to the Red Sox in his most recent start. Justin Bour (.253, 23 Rs, 11 HRs, 35 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.

Milwaukee is a -142 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,645 and a record as the favorite of 23-24. Milwaukee is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 5-5 SU record in its last ten outings.

Over in the other dugout, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -2,105 and a disappointing record of 26-46 as the underdog. Offensively, the Marlins have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 5.1 during that stretch. The Marlins have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 273 extra base hits. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with 80 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Marlins allow 4.1 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.4 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Marlins are fifth in the NL with an average of 8.4 hits allowed per game.

The Marlins have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Brewers have a 14-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Conley takes the mound. Cravy (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 37-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – Mil, O/U – Over

Notes

The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 14-31 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Brewers are 10-53. The Marlins have a 9-44 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 28th in home runs, Miami has hit 85 this season. Milwaukee ranks 19th with 103 home runs.

Ranking 11th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.36 per game. Miami ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.56.

Milwaukee and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Milwaukee sits at 24th with an OPS of .692 and Miami ranks 27th with an OPS of .681.

When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 22-43, well-matched with the Brewers who are 29-48 when allowing at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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