The Minnesota Twins are playing host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Target Field. This interleague matchup will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports North.
Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins Odds
Vegas has listed Minnesota (-135) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+125). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over 9.5 runs and -120 for under 9.5. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +150 for the Twins -1.5.
The Brewers are 26-18 SU and have gone 26-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.1 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 6.7 units ATS. The Twins, on the other hand, are 18-21 SU and 23-16 ATS. They’ve lost 2.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.1 units ATS.
Twins games have had an over/under record of 20-18-1 so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 16-26-2.
Brent Suter will get the nod for the Brewers. The southpaw Suter is 2-3 with a 5.14 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 6.75 ERA and two strikeouts across four innings).
The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Kyle Gibson (1-1, 3.43 ERA), who has 50 punchouts and 22 walks as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Gibson did not record a start against the Brewers in 2017.
As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.21, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
Minnesota’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .234/.292/.304 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Eddie Rosario has helped lead the Twins’ offense this year with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 27 runs scored. Rosario saw a slight decline in production against lefties at home last year. Over 90 such plate appearances, he slashed .291/.300/.407 (his overall season line was .290/.328/.507).
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.06 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.60, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K-per-9 of 10.12.
Brewers hitters have slashed .242/.310/.396 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s offense has been led by Lorenzo Cain, who is slashing .277/.386/.439 with five home runs, 13 RBIs, 26 runs and 10 stolen bases.
The Twins are coming off of a 7-5 loss against the Cardinals, while the Brewers just got an 8-2 victory over the Diamondbacks.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of Minnesota’s last seven games.
The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
Minnesota has posted 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.0 over its last five.
The Brewers have won three of their last four games SU.
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