The Milwaukee Brewers are set to play the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Fox Sports North will televise this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (+105) as the underdog to Minnesota (-115). The total sits at 9 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -200 for the Brewers +1.5 runs and +170 for the Twins -1.5 runs.
The Twins are 18-23 SU and 23-17 ATS. They’ve lost 4.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Brewers have gone 28-18 SU this year and are 27-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 11.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 7.7 units ATS.
Minnesota games have an over/under record of 21-18-1 so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 17-26-2.
Junior Guerra will get the nod for Milwaukee. The right-handed Guerra is 3-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 37 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Twins are turning to righty Jake Odorizzi (3-2, 3.35 ERA), who has 45 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Odorizzi did not record a start against the Brewers in 2017.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.12 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.18 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.58, along with a K-per-9 of 10.31.
The Brewers offense has slashed .245/.314/.405 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Lorenzo Cain and Jesus Aguilar have led Milwaukee’s offense. Cain is slashing .271/.384/.432 with five home runs, 14 RBIs, 27 runs and 10 stolen bases, while Aguilar is hitting .327 with six homers, 19 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
Aguilar seemed to enjoy hitting right-handed pitchers on the road last season. Over 106 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .309/.368/.606 (his overall season line was .265/.331/.505).
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.34, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Minnesota offense has put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .226/.293/.340 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is slashing .294/.319/.544 with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Escobar’s line sits at .284/.333/.534 with seven homers, 21 RBIs and 24 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .290/.328/.507, Rosario performed well against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .351/.402/.733 over 209 such plate appearances.
The Brewers have gained 10.2 units and are 22-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 3.6 units and are 18-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 14 which went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
The Brewers have won five of their last six games SU while the Twins have lost five of their last six SU.
Minnesota has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
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