Jimmy Nelson (3-8, 4.64 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (26-46) go up against Bartolo Colon (9-5, 4.81 ERA) and the New York Mets (36-36) in the second of a three-game series at Miller Park. The Mets lost the last game 3-2, extending a six-game losing streak. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 24 and will air on SNY and FSN-WI.
Nelson is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA against the Mets in his career, and is up against a struggling New York offense that’s hitting just .238 on the year. Adam Lind (.279, 26 Rs, 10 HRs, 35 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Brewers, Colon is 3-2 with a 4.62 ERA. He gets a less-than-stellar Milwaukee offense that’s batting just .238. Lucas Duda (.268, 37 Rs, 10 HRs, 30 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Milwaukee, a -122 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Brewers have a losing record of 6-16 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of -1,954. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-1. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.3 during that span, compared to its 4.9 season average.
On the other side, the Mets have a subpar record of 6-23 when they are the underdog and are -163 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have a poor 0-2 record when they were an underdog to win. The Mets are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.63 ERA this season. They also average just 7.9 hits allowed per road game, second-best in the NL.
This game will feature Colon (RHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have a 9-20 home and 18-38 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Nelson. They sport a 30-29 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 16-15, while Milwaukee is 13-17.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mets have an 11-29 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-38. The Mets have a 10-29 record when opponents outhit them.
Both Milwaukee and New York are tied at 16th in home runs, hitting 62 this season.
Milwaukee and New York both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Milwaukee sits at 14th with 8.00 hits per game and New York ranks 15th with 7.87.
Milwaukee and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Milwaukee sits at 27th with an OPS of .667 and New York ranks 26th with an OPS of .669.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 15-24, well-matched with the Brewers who are 16-31 when allowing at least one homer.
