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Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Game Pick

Mike Fiers (3-7, 4.50 ERA) and Jon Niese (3-7, 4.21 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (25-46) and the New York Mets (36-35) at Miller Park. The Mets come into this series hoping to snap a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 23 and can be seen on SNY and FSN-WI.

Fiers is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his appearances against the Mets, but goes up against a below-average New York offense which is batting just .239 this season. Ryan Braun (.249, 37 Rs, 14 HRs, 44 RBIs, 7 SBs) continued his strong play Sunday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. Niese is 2-1 with a 4.74 ERA when pitching against the Brewers. He takes on a below-average Milwaukee offense which is hitting just .237 this season. Daniel Murphy (.283, 16 Rs, 4 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 2 Sunday.

The odds for Milwaukee and New York are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.3 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.9.

New York’s pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.63 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Mets are second in the NL on the road with an average of 7.9 hits allowed per away game.

The Mets lead the season series, 2-1. The Brewers have a 7-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Niese takes the mound. Fiers (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 30-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – NYM

Notes

Milwaukee has won 41% (12-17) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 53% (16-14) of its games when taking a late lead.

The Brewers are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Mets have a record of 15-3 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-38. The Mets have a 10-28 record when opponents outhit them.

New York ranks in the bottom half of the league at 16th when it comes to home runs, hitting 61 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half at 15th with 62.

Milwaukee and New York both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Milwaukee sits at 13th with 8.00 hits per game and New York ranks 15th with 7.87.

Milwaukee and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Milwaukee sits at 28th with an OPS of .666 and New York ranks 25th with an OPS of .672.

When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 15-24, well-matched with the Brewers who are 15-31 when allowing at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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