Taylor Jungmann (2-1, 3.50 ERA) and Jacob deGrom (7-5, 2.34 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (27-46) and the New York Mets (36-37) at Miller Park. The Mets lost the last game 4-1, continuing a seven-game losing streak. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 25 and can be seen on SNY and MLB Network.
Jungmann pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out four and walking one in a 9-5 win over the Rockies. Ryan Braun (.254, 39 Rs, 14 HRs, 45 RBIs, 7 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. deGrom is 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA against the Brewers in his career. He is up against a below-average Milwaukee offense that’s batting just .238. Curtis Granderson (.242, 40 Rs, 11 HRs, 23 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
New York takes on Milwaukee as a -132 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,854 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 19-30. Milwaukee has recorded a disappointing 1-7 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.1 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.8. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Brewers, who rank third in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.9.
As for their opponent, in contrast to a worrisome overall money line (-263), New York has an impressive 30-12 record when playing as the favorite. New York’s pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.62 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Mets are the best in the NL on the road with an average of 7.9 hits allowed per away game.
The Brewers lead the season series, 3-2. The Brewers have a bad 9-20 record at home (18-38 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they’ll be facing when deGrom takes the mound. Jungmann (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 30-30 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
The Mets are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 2-2 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 9-2 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-38. The Mets have a 10-30 record when opponents outhit them.
Both Milwaukee and New York are tied at 16th in home runs, hitting 63 this season.
Milwaukee and New York both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Milwaukee sits at 14th with 8.01 hits per game and New York ranks 15th with 7.82.
Milwaukee and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Milwaukee sits at 26th with an OPS of .669 and New York ranks 28th with an OPS of .665.
The Mets are 15-25 when they allow at least one home run. The Brewers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 17-31 record.
