Wily Peralta (2-7, 4.48 ERA) and Adam Morgan (3-3, 4.06 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (48-68) and the Philadelphia Phillies (46-69) at Miller Park. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 14 and can be seen on CSPh and FSWI.
Peralta pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out two and walking one in a 3-0 defeat to the Cardinals. Ryan Braun (.277, 68 Rs, 20 HRs, 65 RBIs, 18 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one RBI. Morgan went 6.0 innings, surrendering one, striking out four and walking one in a 4-2 win over the Padres in his most recent start. Ryan Howard (.235, 42 Rs, 19 HRs, 64 RBIs) went 1 for 4 Wednesday with one run.
Milwaukee is a -160 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,845 and a record as the favorite of 20-24.
As for their opponent, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -396 and a disappointing record of 41-62 as the underdog. The Phillies are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the NL with 8.9 hits per road game.
The Brewers have the edge in the season series, 4-0. The Brewers have a 13-12 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Morgan takes the mound. Peralta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 36-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mil, O/U – Over
Notes
Philadelphia has won 40% (23-34) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 48% (27-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Brewers have a 12-30 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 26-9. The Brewers have a 34-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th, Philadelphia sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 429 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 450.
Milwaukee and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Milwaukee sits at 23rd with 286 this season and Philadelphia ranks 29th with 254.
The Brewers are 36-25 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Phillies are 29-29 when they hit at least one homer.
