The Milwaukee Brewers will head east to take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-125) is the favorite over Milwaukee (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Brewers +1.5 runs (-180) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+160).
The Brewers are 37-25 SU and have gone 35-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.2 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 32-28 SU and 27-32 ATS. They’ve gained 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Phillies games have a 25-30-4 over/under record so far in 2018. The Brewers have been a good under bet with a total record of 23-37-2.
The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin is the probable starter for the visiting Brewers. Chacin is 4-1 with a 3.39 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.42 ERA and six strikeouts over 6.1 innings).
The Phillies are going with righty Vince Velasquez (4-6, 3.82 ERA), who has 79 punchouts and 22 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.29. Velasquez did not record a start against the Brewers in 2017.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.17 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.27 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.61, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
Brewers hitters have slashed .246/.317/.404 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Cain is slashing .282/.389/.432 with seven home runs, 18 RBIs, 36 runs and 11 steals, while Yelich (.301/.373/.474) is up to seven homers, 26 RBIs, 37 runs and seven steals.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 3.42 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.65 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .183/.287/.280 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .305/.368/.462 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line is .256/.370/.396 with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 41 runs and 10 steals.
The Brewers have gained 13.8 units and are 29-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.6 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve cashed the under.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Brewers have lost four of their last five games SU while the Phillies have lost five of their last six SU.
The Milwaukee defense has allowed five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Philadelphia over its last 10.
The Brewers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit seven over their last 10.
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