The Milwaukee Brewers will be squaring off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This NL matchup will get underway at 1:35 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (+100) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-110). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 9 runs and even money (+100) for under 9. The game’s current runline odds sit at +135 for taking the Brewers -1.5 runs and -155 for the Phillies +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 39-25 SU and have gone 36-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 32-30 SU and 28-33 ATS. The team has gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 26-31-4 so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 24-37-2.
The right-handed Brandon Woodruff is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Woodruff is 2-0 with a 6.05 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Phillies will turn to righty Zach Eflin (2-2, 3.74 ERA), who’s got 31 strikeouts and nine walks to his credit as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Eflin did not record a start against the Brewers in 2017.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.22 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.35 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.54, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
The Brewers offense has slashed .249/.320/.413 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been powered by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who collectively have swatted 15 home runs. Yelich is slashing .311/.378/.490 with eight home runs, 27 RBIs, 41 runs and seven stolen bases, while Cain has a .281 average with seven homers, 20 RBIs, 37 runs and 12 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 2.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .212/.326/.339 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .293/.355/.444 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line sits at .264/.376/.400 with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 42 runs and 10 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 14.8 units and are 30-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, as opposed to 30 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 0.6 units and are 20-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes
The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
Milwaukee fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Philadelphia over its last 10.
The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit seven over their last 10.
*****
