The Milwaukee Brewers will take on their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Milwaukee (-110) is favored over Pittsburgh (+100) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +135 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -155 for the Pirates +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 55-39 SU and have gone 50-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 44-49 SU and 42-50 ATS. The team’s lost 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 11.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Pirates games have an over/under record of 43-42-7 so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 40-50-3.
Junior Guerra is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Guerra (6-5, 2.79 ERA) has recorded 92 punchouts in 93.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Nick Kingham (3-4, 4.26 ERA), who’s got 42 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Kingham is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.84 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.18, along with a K-per-9 of 10.20.
Brewers hitters have slashed .244/.317/.410 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Milwaukee’s offense has been sparked by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who collectively have blasted 19 home runs. Yelich is hitting .289/.363/.458 with 11 home runs, 42 RBIs, 58 runs and 12 steals, while Cain is hitting .294 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 50 runs and 17 stolen bases.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.38, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 35 games against divisional foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.21.
The Pittsburgh offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .253/.333/.361 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have led the way for the Pirates’ hitters this year. Dickerson is hitting .305/.341/.457 with six home runs, 35 RBIs and 37 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .284/.335/.467 with 11 homers, 41 RBIs, 48 runs and 23 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 15.6 units and are 42-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 1.8 units and are 32-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 33 which went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in five of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
The Brewers have lost three of their last four games SU while the Pirates have taken four of their last five.
Milwaukee has posted 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.4 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit six over their last 10.
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