The Milwaukee Brewers will play their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Vegas is listing Pittsburgh (-110) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+100). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at +105 for over 8 runs and -125 for under 8. The game’s current runline odds stand at -210 for betting the Brewers +1.5 runs and +175 for the Pirates -1.5 runs.
The Brewers have gone 42-30 SU this year and are 40-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 12.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.8 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 36-36 SU and 32-40 ATS. The team has lost 2.2 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 34-32-6 so far in 2018. The Brewers have been a good under bet with a total record of 28-42-2.
Freddy Peralta is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Peralta is 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Pirates will send righty Jameson Taillon (4-5, 3.94 ERA) to the mound. Taillon has 71 punchouts and 21 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Taillon is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.98 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.32 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.74, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 10.59.
The Brewers offense has slashed .247/.318/.410 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 2.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich, who’ve collectively belted 17 home runs. Cain is slashing .286/.388/.439 with eight home runs, 25 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 steals, while Yelich (.297/.371/.470) has produced nine homers, 31 RBIs, 47 runs and eight stolen bases.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.08 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 33 divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.42.
The Pittsburgh offense has put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .258/.331/.432 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ offense has been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .303/.337/.457 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .280/.333/.461 with eight homers, 32 RBIs, 35 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 12.8 units and are 34-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Milwaukee has logged 16 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Pittsburgh has 15 XBH over its last five.
The Pirates have won four of their last five games SU.
Milwaukee has posted 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit eight over their last 10.
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