The Milwaukee Brewers are ready to face off against their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The matchup will begin at 1:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast the game.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (+105) is the home-team underdog to Milwaukee (-115) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Brewers -1.5 runs (+130) and Pirates +1.5 runs (-150).
The Pirates are 78-75 straight up (SU) and 73-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 14.4 units (ATS). The Brewers, on the other hand, have gone 88-67 SU this year and are 80-74 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 16.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.3 units ATS.
Pittsburgh games have had an over/under record of 67-75-10 in 2018. Milwaukee has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 72-78-4.
Wade Miley is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. The southpaw Miley is 5-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (two starts).
The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Nick Kingham (5-6, 4.69 ERA), who’s got 64 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Kingham is 2-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 5.27 ERA over two starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.94, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 68 games against NL Central foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.37 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.79.
The Pittsburgh hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .298/.344/.433 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson have led the charge for the Pirates’ batters this year. Marte is hitting .277/.322/.452 with 19 home runs, 69 RBIs, 76 runs and 33 steals, while Dickerson’s line is .298/.327/.469 with 12 homers, 53 RBIs and 63 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.55, along with a K-per-9 of 10.19.
The Brewers offense has slashed .250/.321/.420 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s offense has been sparked by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who have combined to drive in 130 runs. Yelich is slashing .320/.388/.571 with 31 home runs, 93 RBIs, 106 runs and 20 steals, while Cain is hitting .308/.397/.423 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 82 runs and 28 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 16.5 units and are 61-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 61 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 5.8 units and are 19-24 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 17 that went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in only two of Milwaukee’s last seven contests.
The Pirates have won six of their last seven games SU.
Pittsburgh has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.8 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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