Taylor Jungmann (5-3, 2.23 ERA) takes the hill for the Milwaukee Brewers (44-63) as they square off against Ian Kennedy (6-9, 4.44 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (52-54) in the third of a four-game series at Miller Park. The Brewers won the last game 4-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 5 and can be seen on FSWI and FSSD.
Jungmann pitched 5.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs (one unearned), striking out seven and walking two in a 4-1 defeat to the Cubs. Ryan Braun (.269, 61 Rs, 19 HRs, 63 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Kennedy went 7.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking two in an 8-3 defeat to the Marlins in his last outing. Yangervis Solarte (.266, 34 Rs, 7 HRs, 40 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and four RBIs.
Milwaukee is a slim -114 favorite at home against San Diego. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,748 and a record as the favorite of 18-24. Milwaukee is a disappointing 1-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Brewers have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Brewers, who rank fourth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.5.
In games where it is the underdog, San Diego has a 26-35 record and an overall money line of -268. Offensively, the Padres have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 5.0 during that stretch.
The Padres have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Brewers have a 32-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Kennedy takes the mound. Jungmann (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 40-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games.
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games at home.
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee’s last 13 games when playing San Diego.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego.
When leading after 7 innings, San Diego is 27-20, while Milwaukee is 24-27.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Padres are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Padres are 38-10. The Brewers have a 32-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Milwaukee and San Diego both rank in the bottom half of the league in runs. Milwaukee sits at 20th with 416 runs this season and San Diego ranks 18th with 421.
Milwaukee and San Diego both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Milwaukee sits at 24th with 259 this season and San Diego ranks 21st with 275.
The Brewers are 33-23 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Padres are 35-19 when they hit at least one homer.
