The Charlotte Hornets (9-10) welcome the Milwaukee Bucks (14-5) in a matchup that pits sensational offense against superb defense. The game will air on Fox Sports Carolina at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, November 26, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 234 points with Milwaukee opening as a 4.5-point favorite.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Charlotte Hornets Betting Prediction
Although the Bucks beat the San Antonio Spurs in their last outing, 135-129, they were unable to cover as 10-point favorites. The combined points for the game (264) finished well over the projected point total of 227. One of Milwaukee’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 29 free throw attempts, one more than San Antonio. With 34 points on 9-for-16 shooting, Giannis Antetokounmpo was the game’s leading scorer.
In the Hornets’ last game, they let one slip away to the Atlanta Hawks, 124-123, but did cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (247) came in well over the projected point total of 230. Atlanta’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Charlotte. The Hawks had a rate of 0.617 (above their season average of 0.501), while the Hornets posted a mark of 0.538. Charlotte’s Marvin Williams had 20 points and 13 rebounds in the game.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Hornets lost 113-112 but covered as 3-point underdogs. Kemba Walker led both teams with 41 points. The game finished with a total of 225 points, which was just 3 points above the projected point total of 222 points. The Bucks had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.6 vs. 16.4) and had a better free throw rate (0.176 vs. 0.152).
Milwaukee holds records of 14-5 straight up (SU) and 11-8 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total low when the Bucks are involved, as 73.7 percent of their contests have ended over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Charlotte is 9-10 SU and 12-6 ATS. Hornets games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Eric Bledsoe (18 points,6.0 assists,1.8 steals) has been great for the Bucks while Jeremy Lamb (20 points,6.8 rebounds,1.2 steals) has made great contributions to the Hornets.
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Charlotte currently ranks fifth in offensive efficiency and Milwaukee ranks fifth in defensive efficiency.
Milwaukee Bucks at Charlotte Hornets ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS with 5 overs and 2 unders.
Charlotte is 6-3 ATS at home with 6 overs and 3 unders.
When allowing below 100 points, Milwaukee is 3-0 and Charlotte is 2-0.
When scoring above 100 points, the Hornets are 9-9 and the Bucks are 14-5.
Charlotte averages 34.9 three pointers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Milwaukee ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (35.9).
The Bucks average 6.1 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Hornets rank 27th in blocks allowed per game (6.7).
Milwaukee ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.6) while Charlotte ranks 22nd (49.9).
The Bucks rank second in assists per game (27.4) while the Hornets rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.5).
Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (50.7) while Charlotte ranks 19th (44.4).
The Bucks rank 2 in second chance points allowed per game (10.842105263157896) while the Hornets rank 18 (13.631578947368421).
Milwaukee ranks 1 in fast break points allowed per game (9.368421052631579) while Charlotte ranks 13 (14).
The Hornets rank 4 in points off turnovers per game (19.736842105263158) while the Bucks rank 10 (18.210526315789473).
Charlotte ranks 4 in steals allowed per game (6.894736842105263) while Milwaukee ranks 7 (7.157894736842105).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Charlotte is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 14.4, up from 11.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 118.0 points per game (2.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.2 points per game (4.3 above their season average).
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