The Philadelphia 76ers (21-20) challenge the Milwaukee Bucks (23-21) at Wells Fargo Center. The game will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 20, 2018.
Philadelphia is a 6.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 213.5 points.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction
In the Bucks’ last outing, they were topped by the Miami Heat, 106-101. Miami out-rebounded Milwaukee. The Heat had 10 offensive rebounds and 46 total rebounds, while the Bucks had five and 38, respectively. Giannis Antetokounmpo had a good outing for Milwaukee, contributing 22 points, 10 rebounds and six assists.
The 76ers were victorious over the Boston Celtics in their last matchup, 89-80. The 76ers held the Celtics to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.3 (below their season average of 21.1). The Celtics had a free throw rate of 0.176 (below the 0.233 mark opponents have averaged against Philadelphia this season). Joel Embiid was the game’s high scorer with 26 points on 10-for-19 shooting.
It will be a battle of contrasting styles as the up-tempo 76ers (ranked second in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more half-court-oriented Bucks (26th in possessions per game). Additionally, the Bucks, who rank fourth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.224), will face off against the 76ers, who rank 28th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.232).
Milwaukee heads into the game with records of 23-21 straight up (SU) and 19-20-5 against the spread (ATS). Of the Bucks’ 44 games, 25 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 21-20 SU and 23-18 ATS. Of the 76ers’ 41 games, 22 have finished over the total.
After splitting four games last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, the Bucks won 90-82. Milwaukee had a better effective field goal percentage (0.481 vs. 0.403). Philadelphia, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (21.3 vs. 14.0).
Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Milwaukee is 11-8-2 ATS with 12 overs, 8 unders and 1 push.
At home, Philadelphia is 11-8 ATS with 10 unders and 9 overs.
In games where they allow less than 100 points, Philadelphia is 7-0 and Milwaukee is 9-3.
In games where they score over 100 points, the 76ers are 19-13 and the Bucks are 19-12.
Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds per game (47.4) while Milwaukee ranks 28th (38.6).
The Bucks rank third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the 76ers rank 29th (9.2).
Milwaukee ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Philadelphia ranks 27th (5.5).
The 76ers rank seventh in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Bucks rank 29th (9.8).
Milwaukee ranks sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while Philadelphia ranks 27th (19.5).
The Bucks rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.1) while the 76ers rank 20th (29.4).
Philadelphia ranks third in assists per game (25.8) while Milwaukee ranks 16th (22.4).
The 76ers rank eighth in points in the paint per game (47.1) while the Bucks rank 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (44.3).
Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (7.9) while Philadelphia ranks eighth (10.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Bucks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 1.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 97.8 points per game (9.7 below their season average).
