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Milwaukee Bucks – Portland Trail Blazers Preview – 02.02.2016

The Portland Trail Blazers welcome the Milwaukee Bucks to the Moda Center. Action begins at 10:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Feb. 2 and can be seen on FWi and CNW.

The Trail Blazers enter this game hoping for similar success after topping the Kings 112-97 in their last matchup. Mason Plumlee was a key piece with 12 points, eight rebounds, and two blocks. The Bucks, meanwhile, are coming off a 107-100 win against the Magic in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo had a good game for Milwaukee, registering 25 points, nine rebounds, and two steals.

Khris Middleton has upped his play over the last five games for the Bucks, averaging 22.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, 5.6 assists, 0.8 steals, and 1.8 three-pointers.

The Trail Blazers could dominate the offensive glass in this matchup, as they’re ranked fourth in the league in offensive rebound percentage at 26.6%. Alternatively, Milwaukee ranks 30th in the NBA on the defensive backboards with a defensive rebound percentage of 72.4%.

This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Bucks winning the first matchup 90-88. Greg Monroe put up 16 points and 12 rebounds.

The Trail Blazers are a seven-point favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at 202 points. The Trail Blazers come into this game 23-26 Straight Up (SU) and 26-23 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (7-3). The Trail Blazers are one of the best in the NBA in terms of three-point field goals, making 10.0 shots per game from beyond the arc. The rebounding edge goes to the Trail Blazers in this matchup, who are one of the top rebounding teams in the league with an average of 46.0 boards per game.

In the other locker room, the Bucks have 20-29 SU and 24-24-1 ATS records. Against the Western Conference, Milwaukee is 6-13 SU and 8-10-1 ATS. The Bucks convert their shots at a high percentage, ranking fourth in the league at .462. Milwaukee is the fourth-best team in the league at scoring points off turnovers with 18.5 per game.

Milwaukee beat Portland in their most recent meeting this season, bumping its SU record over the last 10 meetings to 6-4. The Bucks also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 8-2.

Predictions: SU Winner – Por, ATS Winner – Mil, O/U – Under

Notes

Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland’s last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland’s last 6 games at home.

Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home.

Portland is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland’s last 6 games when playing Milwaukee.

Portland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee.

Portland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland’s last 18 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

On average, Milwaukee puts up 98.2 points per game (ranked 24th), while Portland allows 102.3 points per game (ranked 18th).

Milwaukee ranks 25th in points per away game with 96.1 points, while Portland ranks 19th in points allowed at home with 101.4.

In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Milwaukee Bucks are a tremendous 14-4. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the Portland Trail Blazers have an abysmal record of 2-16.

When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Bucks are just 6-23 this season. Portland is a solid 19-10 when registering triple digits.

The Trail Blazers have a defensive rating of 106.1 (ranked 23rd), while the Bucks rank 19th for their offensive rating of 102.4.

Milwaukee has an average field goal percentage of 46.2% (ranked fourth). Portland is an underachieving 4-15 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.

The Portland Trail Blazers rank lower for their field goal percentage (17th) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (10th), but the Milwaukee Bucks have a better FG% ranking (fourth) than their EFF% ranking (15th).

On average, the Milwaukee Bucks make 23.3 assists per game and the Portland Trail Blazers make 21.3. Milwaukee is ranked seventh, while Portland is ranked 19th.

Portland makes an average of 4.1 blocks per game (ranked 24th). Milwaukee ranks higher in blocks with 5.7 (ranked eighth).

The Portland Trail Blazers are the fourth-ranked team in offensive rebounds, while the Milwaukee Bucks are the 17th-ranked team in defensive rebounds.

On average, Portland makes 6.5 steals per game. Milwaukee is a subpar 14-24 when it gives up at least 6 steals.

Written by GMS Previews

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