The Orlando Magic (20-48) look to put an end to their five-game losing streak when they meet the Milwaukee Bucks (36-31) at Amway Center. The game can be seen on Fox SportsNet Florida at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 14, 2018.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic Free Prediction
The Bucks will be hoping for a similar outcome after dismantling the Memphis Grizzlies in their last matchup, 121-103. The Bucks had a better free throw rate (0.185 vs. 0.112) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.4 (above their season average of 20.0). Brandon Jennings was a key piece for Milwaukee with 16 points, 12 assists and eight rebounds.
In the Magic’s last matchup, they were blown out by the San Antonio Spurs, 108-72. San Antonio’s 0.226 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Orlando, who had a mark of 0.110. The Spurs’ mark was above their season average of 0.186, while the Magic’s was below their season average of 0.188. Nikola Vucevic put together a good game for Orlando, leading the team in scoring with 10 points on 5-for-14 shooting.
This has potential to be an error-filled game for the offense of Orlando. Orlando ranks 21st in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.2 percent), while the disruptive defense of Milwaukee forces the sixth-most turnovers in the league (14.8 percent).
Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 36-31 straight up (SU) and 28-34-5 against the spread (ATS). Bucks games have gone over the total 49.3 percent of the time.
Meanwhile, Orlando is 20-48 SU and 31-34-2 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Magic are involved, as 38 of their 67 games have finished under the O/U total.
The Bucks have emerged victorious in both games against the Magic this year, including a 111-104 victory the last time these teams met. Milwaukee covered as a 4.5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 215 points, which was 6.5 points above the projected point total of 208.5 points. Milwaukee had a better effective field goal percentage (0.579 vs. 0.494). Orlando, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (22-26; 84.6 percent). In the victory, Giannis Antetokounmpo led all scorers with 32 points.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Milwaukee is 17-13-2 ATS on the road with 16 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
Orlando is 12-18-1 ATS at home with 19 unders and 12 overs.
Milwaukee is 16-5 when they allow under 100 points, while Orlando is 9-5.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Magic are 20-28 and the Bucks are 30-15.
Milwaukee ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (45.7) while Orlando ranks 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.1).
The Bucks rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while the Magic rank 25th (45.4).
Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (9.4) while Orlando ranks 19th (12.4).
The Bucks rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while the Magic rank 18th (5.0).
Milwaukee ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.6) while Orlando ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
The Magic rank 14th in three pointers attempted per game (29.1) while the Bucks rank 26th (24.5).
Milwaukee averages 8.5 steals per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Orlando ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
The Bucks rank 15th in assists allowed per game (23.1) while the Magic rank 25th (24.5).
Orlando is 26th in the NBA with 10.6 second chance points per game while Milwaukee is 28th with 10.4 second chance points per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Bucks have outscored opponents by an average of 4.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Milwaukee has been defeated by an average of 0.2 points.
During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 90.4 points per game (14.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.4 points per game (6.1 below their season average).
—–
