The Philadelphia 76ers (51-30) and Milwaukee Bucks (44-37) kick off their Eastern Conference schedules at Wells Fargo Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 11, 2018, and will air on ESPN.
Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers Betting Prediction
The Bucks come in on a high note after beating the Orlando Magic in their last matchup, 102-86. The Bucks held the Magic to an offensive rebounding percentage of 10.2 (below their season average of 20.2). The Magic also had a turnover percentage of 17.3 (above their season average of 12.7). Milwaukee was led by Eric Bledsoe, who notched his zeroth triple-double this season. He took over, collecting 20 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists.
In the 76ers’ last matchup, they were victorious over the Atlanta Hawks, 121-113. The 76ers held the Hawks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.7 (below their season average of 21.1) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.592 (above their season average of 0.534). With 26 points and eight rebounds, Philadelphia’s Ersan Ilyasova played well.
It will be a showdown of contrasting tempos as the up-and-down 76ers will look to push the slower-paced Bucks. The 76ers rank fourth in possessions per game while the Bucks are 25th. Additionally, the Bucks, who rank fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.221), will face off against the 76ers, who rank 28th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.219).
Milwaukee holds records of 44-37 straight up (SU) and 35-41-5 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Bucks have typically finished over the projected point total (55.6 percent).
Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 51-30 SU and 47-33 ATS. Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of 76ers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Both teams have had a couple of players trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Bucks it’s been Bledsoe (25.6 points, 6.4 assists and 2.0 steals) and Jabari Parker (16.8 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.2 steals), while Ilyasova (13.6 points and 10.0 rebounds) and JJ Redick (22.0 points) have been great for the 76ers.
The Bucks have won two out of three against the 76ers this season, including a 118-110 victory in their last matchup. Milwaukee covered as a 1-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 228 points, which was 19 points above the projected point total of 209 points. The Bucks’ 11.0 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the 76ers, who had a rate of 24.6. Giannis Antetokounmpo was the game’s top overall scorer with 35 points.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Milwaukee is 22-16-2 ATS with 23 overs, 16 unders and 1 push.
At home, Philadelphia is 26-13 ATS with 21 unders, 17 overs and 1 push.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Milwaukee is 17-5 and Philadelphia is 21-0.
When reaching the century mark, the 76ers are 48-18 and the Bucks are 38-20.
Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds per game (47.3) while Milwaukee ranks last (39.8).
The Bucks rank second in points off turnovers per game (18.3) while the 76ers rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.5).
Milwaukee averages 8.8 steals per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
The 76ers rank fifth in second chance points per game (13.6) while the Bucks rank 27th (10.5).
Philadelphia ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.5) while Milwaukee ranks 21st (47.0).
The Bucks rank fifth in blocks per game (5.4) while the 76ers rank 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
Philadelphia ranks 12th in three pointers attempted per game (29.7) while Milwaukee ranks 25th (24.7).
The 76ers average 27.0 assists per game, which ranks second in the league. The Bucks rank 14th in assists allowed per game (23.5).
Milwaukee ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (9.9) while Philadelphia ranks fourth (10.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.4, up from 0.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 119.6 points per game (10.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (3.2 above their season average).
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