The Wright State Raiders (23-9, 15-4 Hor) meet the Milwaukee Panthers (16-16, 9-10 Hor) in the Horizon Conference Tourney at Little Caesars Arena. The game starts at 9:30 p.m. ET on Monday, March 5, 2018, and will air on ESPNU.
Wright State opened as a 4-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 130 points.
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Wright State Raiders Betting Prediction
The Panthers will be hoping for a similar outcome after beating the UIC Flames in their last outing, 80-75. Milwaukee had a turnover percentage of 10.1 (better than their season average of 16.8). UIC, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.3 vs. 21.2). With 25 points on 8-for-15 shooting, Brock Stull was the game’s high scorer.
In the Raiders’ last game, they defeated the Green Bay Phoenix, 87-72. The Raiders made 23 of their 32 free throws (71.9 percent) and held the Phoenix to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.7 (below their season average of 26.8). Loudon Love was Wright State’s leading scorer with 17 points on 7-for-12 shooting.
Second-chance opportunities could be scarce for Wright State in this contest. The Raiders are among the NCAA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 181st in offensive rebounding percentage at 29.0 percent. Meanwhile, Milwaukee ranks 24th in the nation at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.1 percent. Also, the Panthers’ 263rd-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 102.0) will face a tough challenge against the Raiders’ ninth-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 94.4).
Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 16-16 straight up (SU) and 15-15 against the spread (ATS). Panthers games have typically finished under the projected point total (60.0 percent).
Meanwhile, Wright State owns records of 23-9 SU and 16-14 ATS. Games including the Raiders also have a tendency to finish under the O/U total (60.0 percent).
The Panthers have emerged victorious in both contests against the Raiders this year, escaping with a narrow 74-73 victory the last time these teams met. Milwaukee covered as a 7-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 147 points, which was 18.5 points above the projected point total of 128.5 points. Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Wright State. The Panthers had a rate of 0.714 while the Raiders posted a mark of 0.474. In the loss, Love recorded a double-double with 20 points and 19 rebounds.
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Wright State Raiders Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Wright State, ATS Winner – Wright State, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Wright State ranks 72nd in steals per game (6.8) while Milwaukee ranks 91st in steals allowed per game (5.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Wright State is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over their last five games.
The Panthers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.4, up from 0.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raiders have scored an average of 74.4 points per game (1.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.8 points per game (3.4 above their season average).
