The Minnesota Timberwolves (7-11) look to end their eight-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Brooklyn Nets (8-11) at Barclays Center. The game will air on YES Network at 12 p.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 220.5 points with Minnesota set as a 2-point favorite.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction
The Timberwolves are hoping to rebound after failing to cover as 1-point underdogs in their 103-101 loss to the Denver Nuggets in their last matchup. The combined points for the game (204) came in well under the O/U total of 219.5. Denver’s 12.4 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Minnesota, who had a rate of 15.8. The Nuggets’ mark was worse than their season average of 12.3, while the Timberwolves’ was above their season average of 12.1. Minnesota’s Derrick Rose played well, putting up 20 points.
In the Nets’ previous matchup, they lost to the Dallas Mavericks, 119-113. They failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (232) were well over the O/U total of 215. One of Dallas’ biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They made 41 trips to the line, while Brooklyn went just 21 times. Brooklyn’s Allen Crabbe had a solid performance, leading the team in scoring with 27 points on 10-for-16 shooting.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Nets lost 120-113, unable to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. Russell scored a game-high 31 points and also added 6 assists. The game finished with a total of 233 points, which was 6.5 points above the projected point total of 226.5 points. Minnesota did a great job of getting and making free throws (26-31; 83.9 percent). Brooklyn, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (10.5 vs. 19.7).
Minnesota heads into the game with records of 7-11 straight up (SU) and 8-10 against the spread (ATS). Of the Timberwolves’ 18 games, 12 have finished under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Brooklyn owns records of 8-11 SU and 9-10 ATS. Of the Nets’ 19 games, 9 have finished over the O/U total.
D’Angelo Russell and Spencer Dinwiddie have been playing well over the last five games for Brooklyn. Russell has averaged 22 points,6.6 assists,2.2 steals per game. Not to be outdone, Dinwiddie has recorded 17 points,6.0 assists,1.2 steals a game during that span.
The offensive glass should be a major advantage for Brooklyn in this matchup. The Nets are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking fifth in offensive rebounding percentage at 26.4 percent. Meanwhile, Minnesota ranks 30th in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 71.2 percent.
Minnesota Timberwolves at Brooklyn Nets Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Minnesota is 2-6 ATS with 6 unders and 2 overs.
At home, Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS with 5 overs and 2 unders.
When allowing less than 100 points, Minnesota is 2-0 and Brooklyn is 4-0.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Nets are 8-10 and the Timberwolves are 7-7.
Brooklyn ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.6) while Minnesota ranks 24th (25.5).
The Nets rank fifth in second chance points per game (15.3) while the Timberwolves rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (16.3).
Minnesota ranks seventh in fast break points per game (15.8) while Brooklyn ranks 29th (9.1).
The Nets rank first in three pointers allowed per game (25.2) while the Timberwolves rank 22nd (33.0).
Minnesota ranks third in steals per game (9.4) while Brooklyn ranks 22nd (6.9).
The Nets average 50.21052631578947 points in the paint per game, which ranks 8 in the league. The Timberwolves rank 22 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.44444444444444).
Minnesota ranks 14 in blocks per game (5.5) while Brooklyn ranks 25 (4.2105263157894735).
The Nets rank 18 in rebounds per game (44.421052631578945) while the Timberwolves rank 26 in rebounds allowed per game (48.27777777777778).
Minnesota ranks 22 in points off turnovers per game (15.833333333333334) while Brooklyn ranks 26 (15.473684210526315).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Minnesota is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Timberwolves have outscored opponents by an average of 3.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Minnesota has lost by an average of 4.3 points.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 111.6 points per game (1.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.4 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
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