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Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Free Pick 05/04/18

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins will face their AL Central foe Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The matchup begins at 8:10 p.m. ET and you can catch it on either NSC+ or FSN.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Chicago (+140) is coming into this one as the underdog to Minnesota (-150) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Twins -1.5 runs (-105) and White Sox 1.5 runs (-115).

Twins vs White Sox

The Twins have gone only 10-17 SU this year and are 14-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.8 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the year and 0.6 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 9-20 SU and 15-13 ATS. The team has lost 10.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.7 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

White Sox games have a 12-14-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Twins games have gone over 14 times, gone under 12 times and pushed on zero occasions.

Jose Berrios is getting the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Berrios is 2-3 with a 3.63 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Chicago this year (three starts).

The White Sox are sending righty Carson Fulmer (2-1, 4.32 ERA) to the mound. Fulmer has 18 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.48. Fulmer has yet to face the Twins this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 40.50 ERA across 1.1 innings).

Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.83, along with a WHIP of 1.40.

Twins hitters have slashed .239/.314/.403 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Eduardo Escobar and first baseman Joe Mauer have led Minnesota’s offense. Escobar is hitting .298/.346/.564 with four home runs, 14 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Mauer (.293/.435/.391) is up to one homers, eight RBIs and 13 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.24 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.70 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 12 divisional games, White Sox starters have an ERA of 3.98 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.28.

The Chicago hitters have produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .219/.294/.350 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Matt Davidson and Yoan Moncada have paced the White Sox hitters this year. Davidson is hitting .263/.381/.600 with nine home runs, 18 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Moncada’s line sits at .268/.359/.518 with six homers, 15 RBIs and 17 runs.

The Twins have lost 6.4 units and are 11-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 7.2 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to 11 that went under.

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

Minnesota has recorded 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.

The Twins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit 12 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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