The Minnesota Twins will be squaring off against their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will be airing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Cleveland (-205) as the favorite over Minnesota (+187). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds listed at even money (+100) for over 8 runs and -120 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Twins +1.5 runs (-115) and Indians -1.5 runs (-105).
The Twins are 52-59 SU and have gone 62-50 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 9.3 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 62-49 SU and 54-58 ATS. The team has lost 16.3 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Indians games have an over/under record of 57-51-4 in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 54-55-3.
Jose Berrios will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Berrios (11-8, 3.51 ERA) has recorded 148 punchouts in 145 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA against Cleveland this year (two starts).
The Indians will send righty Corey Kluber (14-6, 2.63 ERA) to the mound. Kluber has 146 punchouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a 0.92 WHIP. Kluber is 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA across two starts against Minnesota this year.
Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.34 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.48 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.70, along with a WHIP of 1.35.
The Twins offense has slashed .244/.317/.400 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s offense has been powered by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is slashing .293/.334/.494 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Escobar is hitting .274 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
For the home team, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 48 games against AL Central foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.84.
The Cleveland hitters have produced 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .247/.352/.435 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have led the way for the Indians’ offense this year. Lindor is slashing .295/.376/.560 with 27 home runs, 67 RBIs, 96 runs and 17 steals, and Ramirez’s line sits at .300/.410/.629 with 33 homers, 83 RBIs, 78 runs and 26 steals.
The Twins have lost 4.5 units and are 43-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 16.9 units and are 38-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 37 that went under the total.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Minnesota has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five games. Cleveland has 15 XBH over its last five.
The Indians have won five of their last six games SU.
The Minnesota defense has allowed four errors over its last five games, compared to zero errors for Cleveland over its last five.
The Twins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
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