The Cleveland Indians are squaring off against the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Minnesota (+170) is entering this game as the underdog to Cleveland (-180) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds stand at -130 for picking the Twins +1.5 runs and +110 for the Indians -1.5 runs.
The Twins are 61-70 SU and have gone 68-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 2.3 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 75-56 SU and 62-68 ATS. They’ve lost 14.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.7 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in three of those seven.
Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 64-60-6 in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 62-65-3.
Kohl Stewart is getting the nod for the Twinkies. The right-handed Stewart is 0-1 with a 6.94 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Indians are putting the ball in the hands of righty Adam Plutko (4-4, 5.09 ERA), who has 39 strikeouts and 17 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Plutko is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 58 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.27.
The Cleveland hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .275/.337/.386 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Indians’ hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is hitting .291/.367/.533 with 29 home runs, 78 RBIs, 108 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Brantley is hitting .304 with 14 homers, 69 RBIs and 74 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.52 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.51, along with a K-per-9 of 9.25.
The Twins offense has slashed .245/.316/.404 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Minnesota’s offensive production has been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is slashing .288/.326/.481 with 22 home runs, 73 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Mauer (.278/.353/.376) has produced five homers, 39 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 5.7 units and are 48-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 11.9 units and are 46-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, as opposed to 44 that’ve cashed the under.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Minnesota has recorded nine extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cleveland has 11 XBH over its last five.
The Twins have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 12 over their last 10.
Minnesota fielders have nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Cleveland over its last 10.
The Twins have dropped five of their last six games SU.
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