The Detroit Tigers are set to host their AL Central foe Minnesota Twins at Comerica Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will televise the matchup.
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds
The Twins are 68-81 SU and are 74-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.2 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 61-88 SU and 78-70 ATS. They’ve lost 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.3 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Tigers games have an over/under record of 63-77-8 in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 73-72-3.
The southpaw Gabriel Moya will get the nod for Minnesota. Moya is 3-1 with a 4.88 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers will turn to righty Jordan Zimmermann (7-7, 4.17 ERA), who has 100 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Zimmermann is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.49, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 66 games against AL Central foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.66.
The Detroit offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .220/.288/.375 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario have led the way for the Tigers’ batters this year. Castellanos is hitting .292/.350/.487 with 21 home runs, 81 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Candelario is batting .231 with 19 homers, 53 RBIs and 74 runs.
For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.61 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.75, along with a K-per-9 of 9.04.
The Twins offense has slashed .247/.317/.403 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer have paced Minnesota’s offense. Rosario is slashing .288/.323/.475 with 23 home runs, 76 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while Mauer (.275/.346/.378) is up to six homers, 44 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 7.0 units and are 54-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 54 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in five of Minnesota’s last seven outings.
The Twins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
Minnesota has posted 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.0 over its last five.
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