The Minnesota Twins will be taking on the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. This AL matchup will begin at 10:07 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports North.
Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Minnesota (+150) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-160). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over 8.5 runs and -120 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -145 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +125 for the Angels -1.5 runs.
The Twins have gone 15-18 SU this year and are 19-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, despite having gained 3.7 units ATS. The Angels, on the other hand, are 23-14 SU and 20-16 ATS. The team’s gained 7.8 units for moneyline bettors and 4.2 units ATS.
Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 19-17 so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 17-14-1.
Lance Lynn will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Lynn is 1-3 with a 7.28 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Angels are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Tyler Skaggs (3-2, 3.08 ERA), who has 39 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Skaggs did not record a start against the Twins in 2017.
Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.20 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Los Angeles offense has put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .317/.386/.586 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led the Angels’ offense this year. Trout is hitting .326/.452/.681 with 12 home runs, 25 RBIs, 32 runs and seven stolen bases, while Simmons has put up a line of .351/.410/.511 with three homers, 22 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
Trout performed well against right-handed pitching at home in 2017. Across 203 such plate appearances, he slashed .352/.468/.753 (compared to his total season line of .306/.442/.629).
For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.41 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.93 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.27, along with a K/9 of 9.51.
The Twins offense has slashed .245/.320/.417 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been led by shortstop Eduardo Escobar and right fielder Max Kepler. Escobar is slashing .303/.356/.605 with seven home runs, 20 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Kepler is hitting .275/.356/.508 with five homers, 14 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .243/.312/.425, Kepler didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .136/.212/.254 across 66 such plate appearances.
The Twins have gained 0.6 units and are 4-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 7.5 units and are 16-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve gone under.
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
Los Angeles has posted 28.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 30.2 over its last five.
The Twins have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Angels have hit 17 over their last 10.
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