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Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Matchup 05/06/18

Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox are set to host their division rival Minnesota Twins at Guaranteed Rate Field. The game gets underway 2:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be televising the action.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Chicago (+140) is coming into this one as the underdog to Minnesota (-150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Twins -1.5 runs (-105) and White Sox 1.5 runs (-115).

Angels vs Mariners

The Twins have gone 12-17 SU this year and are 15-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.0 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 0.6 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 9-22 SU and 16-14 ATS. The team’s lost 10.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

White Sox games have an over/under record of 14-14-2 so far in 2018. Twins games have gone over 16 times, gone under 12 times and pushed on zero instances.

The right-handed Kyle Gibson will get the start for the visiting Twins. Gibson is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and eight strikeouts over seven innings).

The White Sox are putting the ball in the right hand of James Shields (1-3, 5.35 ERA), who has 19 strikeouts and 17 walks as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Shields made three starts against the Twins in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 4.24 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.68 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 14 divisional games, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.99 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.70.

The Chicago hitters have produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .236/.292/.406 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The White Sox offense has been led by Matt Davidson and Yoan Moncada. Davidson is hitting .263/.376/.586 with nine home runs, 18 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and Moncada is batting .263 with six homers, 15 RBIs and 17 runs.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.68, along with a WHIP of 1.39 and a K-per-9 of 9.65.

The Twins offense has slashed .245/.321/.419 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s offensive production been powered by shortstop Eduardo Escobar and first baseman Joe Mauer. Escobar is hitting .314/.368/.637 with six home runs, 18 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Mauer is hitting .300/.440/.400 with one homers, eight RBIs and 15 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 6.5 units and are 12-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 7.2 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 11 that went under.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Both teams have hit 15 home runs over their last 10 outings.

Minnesota has averaged 23.9 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.

The White Sox have lost six of their last seven games SU.

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